Philip A. Fisher: Market Timing

Posted by admin on Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Philip A. Fisher Money Quotation saying Do you think you can predict market timing accurately? I predict that you will be wrong 50% of the timebet big on the winning times and lose small on the other half. Philip A. Fisher said:
 
what will happen to the price of a stock than how much time will elapse before it happens Quote
 

“It is often much easier to tell what will happen to the price of a stock than how much time will elapse before it happens” — Philip A. Fisher

 

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In this quote, Philip A. Fisher is making an observation about the challenges of market timing in stock investing. He argues that while it can sometimes be easier to predict whether a stock price will rise or fall based on analysis of company fundamentals and the overall market environment, it is often much harder to accurately forecast how long it may take for those price changes to occur.

The implication is that investors can be fairly confident about a stock’s future direction but still face uncertainty over the specific timeline. So in essence, Fisher is suggesting it takes more skill and luck to time the market correctly than to simply identify undervalued or overvalued stocks. The overall message is about the difficulty of predicting the speed at which price changes materialize.

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